Wednesday 20 April 2016

Is Delhi Right In Reintroducing the Odd Even Scheme Now

The Delhi govt. has reintroduced the odd/ even formula for a 15 day period on April 15th on popular demand they claim; Arvind Kejriwal – the Delhi CM – announced that as per a poll conducted, 81% of Delhi respondents wanted reintroduction of the scheme with 61% insisting on making it a permanent feature. Delhi has a population of about 2 crores (1.68 crores as per 2011 census) & 28 lakh cars (14%) & Kejriwal’s revelations, perhaps, indicate that non car users – the core support base of AAP - must have demanded such a scheme. It would be interesting to understand how many of the car owners polled wanted this scheme to be introduced especially when alternative public transport arrangements have not been strengthened.  One must, however, hasten to add that that while only 15% of the people travel by cars, they occupy 90% of road space; with 26% of Delhi being under roads – a decent figure – & 66 flyovers, de-clogging of roads is definitely a good measure to enhance vehicular velocity though not necessarily pollution.

 When this policy was run for a trial period between Jan 1-15th this year, it earned plaudits from many international media houses including Fox news.  A critique of that trial is listed below.


Measures announced as part of the 13 point action plan in Jan such as the introduction of suction machines for road cleanliness & green cover on side-walks to prevent dust rise are yet to be fully implemented. With no / meagre  accretion to the Delhi Transport Corporation(DTC) bus fleet of 4461 - though 3000 busses were budgeted - & no addition to the battery operated vehicles/ e –rickshaws for last mile connectivity it is appears that reintroduction of the scheme during this summer is ill thought out.  While a subsidy of Rs 15000 per unit was paid for 3709 battery operated vehicles & e rickshaws last year & the amount doubled to Rs 30000/- this year, it would take some more time before many take advantage of this scheme. None would however counter the urgent need to combat pollution & create awareness for Delhi is one of the most polluted cities in the world.

PM2.5 micro-particles are classed as a Group 1 carcinogen by the World Health Organisation (WHO) and are responsible for lung & heart diseases. The official safe limit for PM2.5 particles - set by the WHO and the European Union - is 25 micrograms per cubic metre while the US mandates a far higher threshold of 12 micrograms per cubic metre. Air in Delhi is 30 times the US limit and more than 15 times the WHO safe limit

Sunita Narain of CSE (Centre for Science & Environment) contents that pollution was stagnant during the trial period as compared to the previous month but was lower than that of Jan 2015. Therefore, it would be reasonable to infer that had the scheme not been introduced, pollution in Delhi would have been worse.  Prof Dinesh Mohan of IIT Delhi has argued that PM 2.5 accounts for 30% of the pollution mix & 4 wheelers account for 20% of that number & a 50% reduction in 4 wheeler vehicular traffic vide the odd/even scheme translates to a theoretical reduction of PM 2.5 by 3% only; however, courtesy, exemptions & violations, 4 wheeler traffic actually reduced by 30% only & therefore PM 2.5 must have reduced by about 2% & hence “not substantial”.  Likewise, average vehicular speeds increased by a “marginal” 5% as per the same study although it varied throughout the day.  From the Research conducted by Ministry of Environmental Protection in China one can deduce that automobiles account for a higher percentage of pollutants when there is severe pollution, because other pollution sources are more stable. Therefore, limiting the no of vehicles on roads as an “emergency measure” is an effective intervention to reduce the number of days with extreme smog.  If made “permanent”, though, it would invite violations as it happened in Mexico City, Bogota et al, either through the fake no plate route – a joy to dubious traders – or addition of an alternate no plate vehicle by the prosperous effectively nullifying the objectives of the scheme. Implementing the odd/even scheme as part of a “basket of measures” is therefore recommended for greater effect.

Basket of Measures
Strengthening public transport is the urgent need. The success of the Delhi metro shows that once provided with a comfortable "value for money" option citizens are more than willing to make a shift from earlier practices. Launching the scheme during the hot summer - when pollution is lower as compared to winter - is therefore ill advised. Prudence demands implementation of the scheme only after the last mile connectivity issues are addressed to avoid civilian discomfiture.

The current scheme suffers from many deficiencies.  Running the scheme not for the entire day but only between 8 AM to 8 PM ensures only a change in traffic pattern without a commensurate reduction in pollution. Running it for a 24 hour period - without any exceptions - to VIPs, women or children going to schools- would ensure better results.  Delhi has 56 lakh two wheelers & 27 lakh four wheelers & not applying the odd/even scheme to the former is a sub optimal solution.  

Some cities have tried stricter models of not allowing vehicles into the CBD (Central Business district); walking, cycling & use of public transport are encouraged in that order & it resulted in small businesses in those areas doing remarkably well because of enhanced business from the increased pedestrian traffic. This too should be replicated in the NCR.

It is, however, disconcerting that there is no discussion on implementation of stricter norms of managing construction dust which is arguably the largest pollutant in the NCR.  Additional Solicitor General, Pinky Anand appearing for Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, in the National Green Tribunal (NGT) hearings, averred that most countries adopt fitness tests, including emission checks of vehicle as a criterion for curbing pollution and not the age of the vehicle. This assertion needs a wider debate to check if this is a better measure than a ban on vehicles over 15 years old.

Only when all the above basket of measures are combined with making an effort to make Delhi an “eco city” would the results be dramatic providing relief to the hoi polloi.

Making Delhi an “Eco City”
Delhi should plan to become an “eco city” -based on several criteria including “zero waste” – through recycle & reuse policy - & “zero carbon emissions” – by relying entirely on renewable energy. Individuals, corporates & governments should join hands to ensure that there is a massive shift towards walking, biking & public transportation, through “environmental education”. High urban density would be a likely consequence which would free up vast land tracks to be used for parks & urban agriculture. Unlike the current situation where agricultural goods are transported from the rural hinterland to the urban centres adding to the “carbon emissions’ this policy would promote more of local production & procurement promoting ecological preservation. If you add increased productivity in manufacturing it would automatically lead to a reduction in energy usage & promote greater sustainability.

Air pollution has been responsible for cardiovascular, respiratory, cancer & heart diseases. More of green cover helps absorb carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, and sulphur dioxide as well as absorb airborne particulates and reduce heat, thereby promoting public health.

Delhi govt. should take advantage of the “solar mission” & offer, on tender, the rooftops of govt. buildings to private parties to establish solar panels & sell power to the Delhi govt. This should be supplemented with a model of allowing all consumers in Delhi to replicate the same with the incentive to generate an additional income by selling excess power so generated to the grid – a model successfully implemented in Germany. Asking the Delhi development authority (DDA) which comes under the National Govt. to release land for setting up additional solar parks should be also done & surplus power, if generated, should be shared with neighbouring states which shall then be amenable to persuasions on closing down their coal powered plants. This is critical since air pollution in Delhi is also caused by polluting industries in neighbouring states.

Govt. efforts would be futile if citizens lack responsibility & civic sense; therefore efforts should be made to make pollution reduction a mass movement & encourage behavioural change through mass media. 

Citizen contribution
Civic consciousness among the citizens has to be enhanced to encourage “Recycling & Reuse” of paper, plastic, glass bottles, cardboard, ink cartridges and aluminium cans etc. Segregation of household waste at home hopefully would reduce chances of a repeat of the Deonar dumping ground fire disaster at Mumbai. Segregated vegetable waste can be used to produce compost to be used for plants at home; planting deciduous trees around one’s house helps provide shade in summer & allow light in winter. Buying organic foods would over a period of time reduce the consumption of pesticides, fungicides, herbicides & artificial fertilizers. Likewise, reduction of energy consumption at home by switching off gadgets when not in use & using natural light often is recommended, for electricity is largely produced from thermal sources which contribute substantially to pollution. Buying energy efficient devices by closely following the “Star Rating” & shifting to solar is always a better option. Germany has proved that each home can generate additional electricity vide solar to he handed over to the grid generating an additional income too in the bargain.

Conclusion
Unlike solid waste, air pollution traverses across cities & hence is more complex to control. Some of the steps taken by Beijing include suspending schools, banning fireworks & outdoor barbecuing & introducing vehicles quotas to make vehicle acquisition difficult. Some of these have not been attempted in Delhi yet, perhaps, a consequence of a benevolent democracy.

Making the cost of acquisition of the 2nd vehicle & beyond, disproportionately high, as attempted in certain countries needs to be immediately implemented. Penalizing the acquisition of diesel vehicles - the worst polluters – is needed; however govt. should have announced a roadmap on the same to avoid auto corporations from making additional investments on plants manufacturing diesel engine.  Preponing the implementation of Bharat VI norms to 2017 against 2019, however, would help. Encouraging “carpooling” shall reduce pollution as well as improve social contacts which have reduced in this fast paced world. AAP should tap the RWAs (Resident Welfare Associations) & it’s much feted Mohalla Sabhas to make this an unstoppable movement.

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